Thursday, December 15, 2016

President-elect Trump: An Expert Describes a High-Conflict Personalit

December 15, 2016
TIMES OF SAN DIEGO

By Laura Walcher

Bill Eddy is a lawyer, therapist, mediator and the President of the High Conflict Institute; also, a Certified Family Law Specialist in California and the Senior Family Mediator at the National Conflict Resolution Center in San Diego.

He developed the "High Conflict Personality" theory (HCP Theory) and is an international expert on managing disputes involving high conflict personalities and personality disorders.

Mr. Eddy is the author of numerous articles and several books, including: “Trump Bubbles: The Dramatic Rise and Fall of High-Conflict Politicians.”  “This won’t be a ‘business as usual’ four years,” he says of Trump’s upcoming term. “ We will need, “ he says, “to speak up a lot!”

So, we began: 

LW:  Bill, to begin with, please define what you mean
by “bubble.”  While your book is primarily about President-elect Trump, I presume your use of “bubble” may apply to others?

BE:  For years, people have described a “bubble” in the context of a social condition, such as the housing market bubble or the stock market bubble, both of which burst in 2008. The term “irrational exuberance” has been applied to describe the enthusiasm and belief that these social conditions will only get better and better. I define a “trump bubble” as “when emotions trump thinking in politics.” I believe that when emotions drive a politician’s success, it will inevitably lead to their fall when reality sets in.



LW:   According to your definition and discussion of “High
Conflict Personality” (HCP) people, Trump is certainly a qualifier! How unique in this respect is Trump vs. other U. S. presidents  - or other leaders?   Joseph McCarthy?  Richard Nixon?

BE:  High conflict people have four common characteristics: 1. Pre-occupation with blaming others. 2. All or nothing thinking. 3. Unmanaged emotions. 4. Extreme negative behavior.  When high conflict people gain political power, they tend to dramatically rise (based primarily on emotions) and dramatically fall when reality sets in. Examples of such “trump” bubbles have been Hitler, McCarthy, Johnson, Nixon and others. I explained six of these historical examples in my book “Trump Bubbles: The Dramatic Rise and Fall of High Conflict Politicians.” They all follow a predictable arc of rise and fall. The only question is the timing.



LW.  Could this personality be simplified as “narcissistic” or is narcissism just one element of the character? 

BE:  Not all narcissists are high conflict people. The extreme preoccupation with blaming others characteristic of HCPs when combined with narcissism and political power create a much larger problem than with an ordinary narcissist. However, in this case the co-author of Trump’s book “The Art of the Deal,” says that he is a sociopath. If this is true, it means that nothing he says can be trusted. It also means that such personalities will lack a conscience and act recklessly.



LW::  Is there any upside to this personality – especially for the president of the United States of America?

BE: Given Trump’s possible character traits, there is no long-term upside. In the short term a charismatic emotion-based leader often looks wonderful in the early stage.  We are now in the early stage; he has not yet performed on behalf of the nation. The conflicts he will create, the failures to follow through, and his inability to manage the flexibility needed for this job will create many more problems than he may solve. Yet, he will have some success by bullying people into doing what he wants. However, he will disappoint his followers much more than he helps them.



LW:  Does Trump’s flip-flopping on issues, opinions, answers –
even outright lying -  throughout the campaign conform to the personality you describe?

BE: Yes. Narcissistic HCPs like being unpredictable and beholden to no one. They hate rules and feel superior to them. So being consistent feels confining and they generally like to keep everyone else guessing. It’s rule by personality, not by logic or law. Sociopathic HCPs will say (lie) and do whatever is convenient or appealing at the time, without conscience or consistency. They like instability because it keeps everyone else off-balance. This especially can be demonstrated with a lack of loyalty to his associates, discarding them at will and turning his attention to new shiny objects and people (wives, for example). 



LW:  You write that Trump is “..potentially the most dangerous person in politics since Adolf  Hitler.”  Clearly a terrifying opinion – yet we do remember the ardent hordes of Hitler’s followers!   Explain/elaborate?

BE: There are similarities regarding how he connects with his followers, so that they become more passionately connected  when he and they are criticized. It strengthens their bond. It’s a major part of my book. In a nutshell, it’s because he uses emotions instead of logic, and uses repetition on a greater scale than most politicians since Hitler. He has conditioned his followers to his simple arguments from day one. Hitler was known for spewing ten times as many words as any other politician, and he used modern media for voice (daily speeches  on the radio) and face (movies of him speaking at his huge rallies).  These emotional media projecting face and voice are much more powerful on our brains than printed words.



LW:  Evaluating Trump as you do, do you really believe that, per his leadership,  “sooner or later we will have a war on our hands.”

BE: Here’s a short statement from the book:
“He tends to inspire violence and lack of restraint – which leads to lack of physical restraint, which leads to organized aggressive behavior – which leads inevitably to war. He will “split” the world into allies and enemies. We will have more chaos than we do now in the Middle East – and on American soil. Friends and family members will start hating each other, and school children will become disrespectful and violent towards people who look different from them.”


LW::  Given your expertise and experience, what is your prediction for  Mr. Trump’s  presidency – and its consequences for our country?  Should we be -  as many of us are – very scared?

BE: Yes. Moderate Republicans  may limit his damage and keep him tied up in procedural matters, such as conservative Republicans have done to Obama. However, the more frustrated he gets, the wilder he may get and he will potentially motivate his followers to threaten his opponents (which will especially be directed at protesters).

I expect that his presidency will look similar to Johnson’s and Nixon’s, with lots of protests, dirty tricks, violence, and a mix of good and bad policies. But ultimately his over-reaching and paranoia will cause him to fall, as Johnson did and Nixon really did.  When and how many will get hurt? I explain the steps of the fall in the book; I just don’t know the timing.

In the long run, strong protests of his actions and educating the public on issues will prevail—as it did with Johnson and Nixon.  ###


“Trump Bubbles: The Dramatic Rise and Fall of High-Conflict Politicians” is available at  Amazon, Barnes & Noble, or the publisher:  www.UnhookedBooks.com, available in paperback or as an e-book.

Thursday, December 1, 2016

WHAT NOW? LIL’ BIT COIN …

Presidio Sentinel, San Diego
December, 2016

By Laura Walcher  
   I wonder what ever happened to the Humphreys, that big-city family whose outings were dedicated – yes, dedicated – to how much money they could find on a New York street?   Did it pay their rent?  Buy their groceries?  Well, it was reported that they found “thousands,” but I, as an equally obsessive loose-change seeker, figured they needed to live very long lives to acquire that much.  

I too, am simply, highly opposed to letting perfectly good money lay unclaimed in the open.  And, I’m aided by the need to take Fen, the poodle/bischonish (or, who knows/) little brat on long walks, during which I can either idly scan for coin or think great thoughts. 

(Do not hurt my feelings here.)

I rejected listening to news (heaven help us!), music or lectures.  One must be vigilant while walking Fen – not only because he may eat a disgusting sidewalk tidbit that will wind up costing us hundreds to have his stomach pumped, but because I’d miss
exultant pedestrians who must discuss his breed (?) and his adorableness - - (“ Yes,” I say, “ sometimes he’s adorable.” )

Well, I’d learned a lot from the Humphreys ; they were anything but idle.  With their two children, they embarked on serious scouting.

As for me, it’s true that I can’t quite stroll through a parking lot or pass an ATM machine without paying keen attention, but I simply never advanced –like the Humphreys -  to  searching ‘round the supermarket check-out stand, vending machine locations or  - and I’m ashamed not to have  thought of this one -  gas station pumps. The Humphreys advised restaurant seats, too.  Ick.

Well, the Humphreys were New Yorkers, where people dash through the streets whether they’re late getting to where they’re going or not.  So they’re probably far more careless in general than San Diegans, who really don’t rush to get anywhere, and are even reasonably satisfied to be a tiny bit late - like slipping into their seats just as the curtain goes up (ending how you’ve been eyeing their seats to see whether - being better than yours - you can make a quick change.)  And maybe, if New Yorkers do lose a dime here and there, they’re reluctant to recover it lest they be trampled. 

In the meantime, not long ago, during one week, I found coin every single day.  And the following week, in one day I scored a penny, a nickel, a dime – and a quarter.  A bonanza.

But, thousands?  I would ardently dispute that, and will, should I ever meet the Humphreys;   unless, of course,  I learn that they actually  put both those kids through college with that lil’ bit o’coin.  ###